BarrelBets Oil Market Analysis

Bet on Barrels, Win with Precision

Retrain Model
Custom Strike Price Analysis

Next Day Price Prediction

UP

Expected price movement for tomorrow

Predicted WTI Price

$69.79

Next trading day target
Confidence Score
55.7%
Probability UP
55.7%
Bullish Signal
Probability DOWN
44.3%
Bearish Signal
Current WTI Price

$68.20

West Texas Intermediate
Current Brent Price

$70.49

Brent Crude Oil
Latest available market data: 2025-07-20
EIA weekly data (industry standard reporting delay)

Real-Time Market Intelligence

Data Sources
Historical Data

EIA API

Real-Time Prices

Oil Price API

News & Sentiment

News API + RSS feeds

News Sentiment Analysis

Bearish

Sentiment Score: -100.0%
Based on latest market news analysis
Last updated: 2025-07-20T21:40:37

Market Trend Explainer

Understanding current market conditions in plain language
Market Summary

Oil markets are showing mixed signals with prices in a consolidation phase. Market volatility is moderate, and News sentiment is very bearish. This creates a market environment where traders should focus on risk management and stay alert to changing conditions.

Trading Insights
  • Negative news sentiment supports bearish positions, but monitor for sentiment improvements.
  • Always use proper risk management with stop-losses and position sizing.
  • Monitor economic data releases and geopolitical events that could impact oil prices.
Risk Assessment

Current market conditions present relatively low risk (26.7%). Normal position sizing may be appropriate, but remain vigilant.

Low Risk
27.0%
Analysis updated: 2025-07-20 21:40:41

Price Analysis & Targets

Current vs Predicted
Current WTI
$68.20
Updated: 2025-07-
Predicted WTI
$69.79
Expected Change

+$1.59

+2.3%
Trading Insights
Direction Confidence
55.7%

Model confidence in upward movement

Price Target
$69.79

AI-predicted next day closing price

Risk Level
High

Based on model confidence level

Model Performance Metrics
69.2%

Accuracy

69.9%

Precision

69.2%

Recall

52

Test Samples

Training Samples: 208
Last Trained: 2025-07-20T21:18:26
Model Performance Analysis
Model Information
Algorithm

VotingEnsemble

Performance Metrics
CV Accuracy 68.8% Trading Grade
Test Score 69.2% Validation
Precision 69.9% Accuracy
Features 31 Selected
Features Used
  • Advanced Technical Indicators
  • Price Momentum & Acceleration
  • Moving Average Crossovers
  • Bollinger Band Positions
  • Market Regime Indicators
  • Inventory Impact Analysis
Prediction Target

Binary classification: Will WTI crude oil price go UP or DOWN in the near term?

Trading Reliability
Trading Grade: Cross-validation accuracy of 68.8% exceeds 55% threshold for reliable trading decisions
Note: CV Accuracy represents the model's expected performance on unseen data through cross-validation, which is more reliable than test accuracy for trading decisions.
Data Sources
  • EIA (Energy Information Administration)
  • OilPriceAPI
  • Alpha Vantage
Model Architecture

Ensemble voting classifier with feature selection optimizing the top 20 most predictive indicators from 31 candidate features